About
Ahead of the Curve provides you with analysis and insight into today's global financial markets. The latest news and views from global stock, bond, commodity and FOREX markets are discussed. Rajveer Rawlin is a PhD and received his MBA in finance from the Cardiff Metropolitan University, Wales, UK. He is an avid market watcher having followed capital markets in the US and India since 1993. His research interests includes areas of Capital Markets, Banking, Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management and has over 20 years of experience in the above areas covering the US and Indian Markets. He has several publications in the above areas. The views expressed here are his own and should not be construed as advice to buy or sell securities.
Featured post
Time Series Analysis with GRETL
This video shows key time-series analyses techniques such as ARIMA, Granger Causality, Co-integration, and VECM performed via GRETL. Key dia...
Showing posts with label recession 2008. Show all posts
Showing posts with label recession 2008. Show all posts
Thursday 8 June 2017
Comparison of the Environment during Major Market Crashes to the Market Environment Today
Labels:
great depression,
investing,
market crash,
recession,
recession 2008,
stock market,
stock market outlook,
trading
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
Monday 18 July 2016
Chart of the Week - Deutsche Bank 2016 vs Lehman Brothers 2008
The Chart of the day is via Chris Vermeulen from the goldandoilguy.com and shows a comparison of the price performance of Lehman Brothers in 2008 to the current price performance of Deutsche Bank today. With a number of European and US banks having similar charts to Deutsche Bank and the bank index not confirming recent new highs in the broader market, once can all but wonder if a repeat of 2008 is on the cards:
Labels:
deutsche bank,
lehman,
recession,
recession 2008
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
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Market Insight
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British MoD Allegedly Hacked by China on May 7 - The Ministry of Defence (MoD) announced on May 7 that they were targeted by hackers. The initial announcement did not state who was responsible, but Sky Ne...40 minutes ago
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Pro-Bitcoin President Javier Milei's Argentina Introduces 10,000-Peso Notes As It Combats Hyperinflation, Currency Collapse - To address severe inflation and currency devaluation, Argentina under President *Javier Milei*, known for his pro-*Bitcoin* (CRYPTO: BTC) stance, has int...50 minutes ago
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AI-Fueled Enterprise Data Management: The Rise Of Oracle Database 23ai - Oracle Database 23ai brings deep integration of AI technologies to enhance the efficiency, intelligence, and security of enterprise applications.1 hour ago
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ICT AM NY Session A+ Setup based on Quarterly Theory | Darya Filipenka - People have been asking me to share my strategy. No, I do NOT overcomplicate things. I'm simply demonstrating how straightforward it can be. My strategy is...2 hours ago
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Three Stocks: Tesla, Marathon Digital, and Disney - Three Stocks: Tesla, Marathon Digital, and Disney Tesla Something's going on with Tesla (TSLA) shares today, as the stock is more than 3% lower, and the op...8 hours ago
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It Is Being Projected That New Cases Of Cancer In The U.S. Will Explode To A Brand New Record High This Year (2 Million In 2024) - We are witnessing an explosion of cancer in the United States that is absolutely unprecedented. As you will see below, it is being projected that the nu...8 hours ago
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S&P 500 PE Ratio - *Current S&P 500 PE Ratio:* 26.96 +0.04 (0.13%) 4:00 PM EDT, Tue May 78 hours ago
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SPECIAL INVESTORS REPORT – NEW TRADE PENDING - The overall markets are gaining strength, momentum, and traction. From a technical analysis perspective, will we get a buy signal to enter the markets once...9 hours ago
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Hikikomori and Lying Flat: When "Making It" Becomes Hopeless - *No wonder so many people devote themselves to curating an artificial digital representation of themselves that they reckon is worthy of recognition and st...10 hours ago
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Tuesday links: the idea of escape - Markets - Why TIPS are more attractive than nominal bonds at this point. (morningstar.com) - Chinese stocks have badly underperformed for more ...11 hours ago
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Benjamin F. Edwards & Company Inc. Sells 648 Shares of ONE Gas, Inc. (NYSE:OGS) - Benjamin F. Edwards & Company Inc. lowered its stake in ONE Gas, Inc. (NYSE:OGS – Free Report) by 3.2% in the 4th quarter, according to its most recent dis...11 hours ago
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Transcript: Joanne Bradford - The transcript from this week’s, MiB: Joanne Bradford, Domain Money, is below. You can stream and download our full conversation, including any podca...16 hours ago
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Why Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Could Be a Hidden Gem for Growth Investors - In March 2024, Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) became the latest artificial intelligence (AI) company to join the S&P 500 index, just a little more than ...18 hours ago
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Microsoft’s $282,000 AI Secret… - It’s all about controlling one of the most critical resources for the next phase of the AI revolution … and Microsoft has a $282,000 secret. The post Mic...18 hours ago
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Debt Rattle May 7 2024 - Paul Klee In the Houses of Saint Germain 1914 • Russia Issues Military Ultimatum To UK (RT) • The ‘Escalation Ladder’: French, British Threats Provoke ...19 hours ago
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Daily Market Brief - Subscriber content. To subscribe to the Daily Market Brief please visit Market Services on NorthmanTrader.com. The Daily Market Brief is an in-depth market...19 hours ago
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US strategic petroleum policy : New insights from the Research Division - The FRED Blog has used data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) to discuss the income-adjusted weight of gasoline prices and the price elas...1 day ago
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A New Spring? - Weekly report covering Gold, Equities, Crude, Dollar. A look at trade opportunities and covering the model portfolio. The post A New Spring? appeared fir...2 days ago
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Cattle Prices Have Outrun Grain Prices - [image: wheat and cattle prices monthly] Most of the time, corn prices move in step with the futures prices for live cattle. This makes some sense from ...4 days ago
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The Bank has published its annual report for the year 2023 - 2023 has been a fifth succeeding good year for Dukascopy Bank SA. The Bank’s net profit of 2023 was CHF 1.3 million. All subsidiaries of Dukascopy ...1 week ago
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Mastering Market Bottoms: 5 Signals to Spot Buying Opportunities - Unlock the secrets to identifying market bottoms and harness the power of opportunity amidst market turbulence. Dive into our comprehensive guide, packed...1 week ago
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Weekend Update - Trendline rejection (3/8/24) - SPX was rejected by the blue trendline Friday. The trendline had been sucessfully tested four times and held since November, until now. SPX has unable ...1 month ago
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Catastrophic Risk: Investing and Business Implications - In the context of valuing companies, and sharing those valuations, I do get suggestions from readers on companies that I should value next. While I d...2 months ago
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Hello world! - Welcome to WordPress. This is your first post. Edit or delete it, then start writing!3 months ago
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Teaching Johns Hopkins A Privilege Lesson - by Not Sure01/12/24Johns Hopkins Hospital Chief Diversity Officer Sherita Hill Golden sent a letter out essentially implying that all people who don’t look...3 months ago
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Mungerisms: Timeless Wisdom from Charlie Munger on Life and Business - "Mungerisms" are succinct expressions of wisdom and insights coined by Charlie Munger, the Vice Chairman of Berkshire Hathaway and Warren Buffett's longtim...5 months ago
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If You Find Deer or Elk Antlers on the Ground, Leave Them There, Say Some States - Even though elk do shed their antlers naturally, collecting them brings up a number of ethical issues.6 months ago
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It’s Crunch Time for The Daily Doom and Doom Time for The Great Recession Blog - The Great Recession Blog is officially done for good, and it remains to be seen if all my writing continues on TheDailyDoom.com. If my writing on economi...10 months ago
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Innovative Industrial Properties Stock a Great Way to Play Pot Sector - *IIPR Stock Represents a Long-Term Opportunity* Marijuana stocks briefly attracted investors' attention following the 2022 mid-term elections, when Maryl...1 year ago
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2008 analogue - The 2008 analogue tape looks very interesting from where we stand. Let's anchor it to the next two Fed meetings -- since that's all that matters -- and i...1 year ago
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Back to trade with Bar Replay - It is often said that one should not be sad about the past, but sometimes it can be nice to return to it. Who would like to buy Tesla for $1 and experience...1 year ago
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After This Holiday Rally, You Better Know When To Walk Away - This week’s investor insight will make you think twice about the current stock and bond rally as we head into the end of the year. We get a lot of questi...1 year ago
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How Africa Can Escape Chronic Food Insecurity Amid Climate Change - The toll of extreme weather events on crops underscores the region’s challenges and need for policies to save lives and protect livelihoods.1 year ago
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12 Bear Market Rules To Live By – Survive & Thrive In The Next Bear Market - 12 Bear Market Rules To Live By – Survive & Thrive In The Next Bear Market [image: Bear Market Rules Survival Guide] I grew up in the 1970s-1980s when th...1 year ago
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Growth Companies – Getting What You Want - What do the growth companies in your field have in common? How are they doing so well and what can you learn from them? Growth companies usually make a pro...1 year ago
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Blog Post Title - What goes into a blog post? Helpful, industry-specific content that: 1) gives readers a useful takeaway, and 2) shows you’re an industry expert. Use your c...2 years ago
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Foot Locker Crushed Q2 Earnings Expectations Sending Stock Higher - Plus, AstraZeneca said its antibody therapy reduced the risk of developing COVID-19 symptoms by 77%, The Topps Co’s SPAC merger is off, and Elon Musk annou...2 years ago
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Elliott Wave Stock Market Update - July 10th - The market has continued its rally to higher highs and it doesn't seem like it wants to stop. We now have a new ATH at 4371 which are NASDAQ levels s...2 years ago
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The Psychology of QE is Far More Important Than the Amount of It - Let's discuss what QE really does vs the psychology of QE.2 years ago
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Hello world! - Welcome to WordPress. This is your first post. Edit or delete it, then start writing!3 years ago
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Trading: Opportunities Are Dispersed - Opportunities are dispersed. You might have an... *READ THE REST OF THE ARTICLE ON THE NEW WEBSITE: JIM ROGERS TALKS MARKETS * *Jim Rogers is a legendary i...3 years ago
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Market Signals for the US stock market S and P 500 Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the Week beginning November 09 - Indicator Weekly Level / Change Implication for S & P 500 Implication for Nifty* S & P 500 3509, 7.32% Bullish Bullish Nifty 12264, 5.34% Neutral ** Bullis...3 years ago
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November report "Is it True, as David Hume (1711 – 1776) postulated that, "Nothing is esteemed a more certain sign of the flourishing conditions of any nation than the lowness of interest"?" published. https://bit.ly/2y4LJZQ - November report "Is it True, as David Hume (1711 – 1776) postulated that, "Nothing is esteemed a more certain sign of the flourishing conditions of any n...3 years ago
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Fully Automated Trend Trading w/ Stocks Or Options - There’s a lot of research to support the usage of trend indicators as simple risk reduction elements that can be layered onto an existing strategy. Howev...3 years ago
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2020 Top Investment Picks – Q3 Update - At the beginning of the year, I put together a list of Top Investment Picks for 2020 from the investment community and track them on this website. This is ...3 years ago
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Upside-Down Markets: Profits, Inflation and Equity Valuation in Fiscal Policy Regimes - I just published a new long-form piece through OSAM entitled “Upside-Down Markets: Profits, Inflation and Equity Valuation in Fiscal Policy Regimes.” In th...3 years ago
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The last of 12326 - February 22nd 2012..... First post... https://permabeardoomster.blogspot.com/2012/02/can-anyone-fly-plane.html -- This post will be the last under the o...3 years ago
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Ultramarathoner Runs Over 200 Miles in Backyard, Wins Golden Toilet Paper Roll - Strange times indeed. In the land “BC,” before coronavirus, people ran long distances in foot races, and toilet paper wasn’t coveted. Things have changed. ...4 years ago
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One Year Later - A year ago today I lost my father and my best friend, everyone here lost their mentor and a friend. Dad and I spent the last 7 years of his life living tog...4 years ago
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Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Retreating Towards Key Support Around $25.60-$27 -
AMD has failed to clear the 2018 high around $34.20. It is retreating, and has broken an August/September sup...
4 years ago -
Advanced Search is Now on Stocktwits - Advanced Search Is Now on Stocktwits Come rain or shine, the Stocktwits community shares over 200,000 messages per day. That includes charts, news, trade i...4 years ago
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Nightly Algo Report – December 6, 2018 - To access this post, you must purchase Premium Plan or Premium Plan - Annual. The post Nightly Algo Report – December 6, 2018 appeared first on Elliottwa...5 years ago
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Don’t be Fooled by the Pullback in the Dollar Because…. - Don’t be fooled by the pullback in the U.S. dollar today because the greenback could still strengthen further before the end of the year. Nearly all of the...5 years ago
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A look at the bull market ahead - My latest missive on the near-term stock market outlook can be seen at Financial Sense web site. You can see it by clicking on the following link: https:/...6 years ago
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Weekly Videos - This week’s video will be posted on the new home for Short Takes. If all goes well, it will appear sometime between 6:00 and 8:00 pm ET.6 years ago
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Gold Miners near a buy zone - Gold cleared a several month long consolidation a few weeks ago as it cleared $1300, and has since been consolidating as it drifts back to […] The post G...6 years ago
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Current Account Deficits and Safe Assets - The International Monetary Fund has issued its External Sector Report for 2017, and among its key findings: “Global current account imbalances were broadly...6 years ago
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Kafka For The Twenty First Century - I've been spending a slightly frustrating day trying to update my payment details at google. To log in to my admin console I need to log in using my G Sui...7 years ago
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Gold Unleashed by Fed - Gold's next major upleg was likely unleashed by a very-dovish FOMC this week, which now has its hands tied on hiking rates or being hawkish due to the US e...7 years ago
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August 24th Blogger Sentiment Poll - There are more bulls than bears in this week's poll. Blogger Sentiment Poll Participants: 24/7 Wall St (N) Carl Futia (+) Dash of Insight (+) Elliot Wave L...14 years ago
My Favorite Books
- The Intelligent Investor
- Liars Poker
- One up on Wall Street
- Beating the Street
- Remniscience of a stock operator
Trading Ideas
Forex Insight
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USD/CAD rises to near 1.3750 due to the hawkish sentiment surrounding Fed - Read more on https://www.fxstreet.com1 hour ago
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Daily Broad Market Recap – May 7, 2024 - The absence of fresh major market themes encouraged asset-specific price action on Tuesday! Which major assets saw volatility? We have the deets!2 hours ago
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Gold Price, EUR/USD, GBP/USD – Market Outlook and Technical Analysis - This article explores the technical outlook for gold, EUR/USD and GBP/USD, examining price action dynamics and market sentiment to anticipate their short-t...4 hours ago
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Yen extends losses, Fed members cautious - The Japanese yen is down for a second straight day on Tuesday. USD/JPY has risen 0.45%, up 154.59, up 0.45% at the time of writing. The yen is down 1% this...15 hours ago
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Don’t be Fooled by the Pullback in the Dollar Because…. - Don’t be fooled by the pullback in the U.S. dollar today because the greenback could still strengthen further before the end of the year. Nearly all of the...5 years ago
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook - EUR/USD's decline attempt was contained at 1.0494, above 1.0493 support and rebounded. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, break of ...7 years ago
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Loonie and Aussie Share Downward Bond - In yesterday’s post (Tide is Turning for the Aussie), I explained how a prevailing sense of uncertainty in the markets has manifested itself in the form of...12 years ago
Economic Calendar
India Market Insight
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Bharat Forge REC LTD BHEL Swing Levels - REC LTD Positional Traders can use the below mentioned levels Close below 505 Target 484 Intraday Traders can use the below mentioned levels Buy above ...2 hours ago
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Tata Elxsi Q4 net profit, revenue decline QoQ; firm declares dividend of Rs 70 per share - [image: Tata Elxsi Q4 net profit, revenue decline QoQ; firm declares dividend of Rs 70 per share] The net profit was down 4.6 percent quarter-on-quarter co...2 weeks ago
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Rupee falls 29 paise to close at 82.68 against US dollar - During the day, the rupee touched a high of 82.45 and a low of 82.68 against the greenback. On Friday, the rupee had settled at 82.39 against the dollar.11 months ago
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ES Hourly cloud and 4 Hour chart - - ES Hour moving towards the hourly cloud which may act as resistance. - 4 Hour chart shows a possible bullish candle which may give new high's ...2 years ago
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JUST NIFTY BLOG 10-01-2020 - Bulk Deals FII DII Stats Date # of Deals Total Volume (In Millions) 01-01-1970 0 0.00 Click here to see all Bulk Deals Date Category Buy Amount (Rs. Cror...4 years ago
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Vist Note on Federal Bank - We recently met the senior management of Federal Bank which is one of the old private sector banks with a distribution network of 1252 branches (48% Kerala...6 years ago
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Nifty Bulls bounces ferociously holding 9930,EOD Analysis - FII's bought 4.8 K contract of Index Future worth 262 cores ,9.7 K Long contract were added by FII's and 4.8 K Short contracts were added by FII's. Net Ope...6 years ago
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Midcap & Smallcap Index Corrects, Lets Come Back To Fundamentals Again - Midcap Index had made a high of 18511 on 16th May 2017, fell almost 7% and is currently trading at 17230. Smallcap Index made all time high of 7679 on 11th...6 years ago
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Market outlook for 30/10/2016 - *Nifty closed up 22.75 points (0.26%) at 8638.00* while Future closed at 8667.40, premium of 29.40 points. *Bank Nifty closed up 41.35 points (0.21%) at 19...7 years ago
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Option Open Interest for 28-10-2016 - Inference The index opened flat to positive and after making an initial low around 8581 saw some short covering to close at 8638.00, gain of 22.75 points. ...7 years ago
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Market Review for 23rd August 2016 - *Nifty (8629)* we said ‘technically trend is still intact but there exists selling pressure near 8746 and support around 8600 zones’ the Nifty unfolded as...7 years ago
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ITC To Resume Cigarette Manufacturing - ITC manufactures a range of cigarette brands, including India Kings, Classic, Gold Flake, Navy Cut, Capstan, Bristol, Flake, Silk Cut, which are manufactur...8 years ago
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My Asset Allocation Strategy (Indian Market)
Cash - 40%
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%
My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%
My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.